Maria Laying method

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Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Sat May 21, 2016 8:26 pm

Hi folks did anyone ever work out the method Maria used for her lays ?
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Sun May 22, 2016 1:34 pm

I think lv found the way she did it . Not sure if lm allowed to post the lays on here but.
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Mon May 23, 2016 10:12 am

These are the Lays today that we think would have been Marias lays
Monday 23/05/16
3:05 AYR Mo Henry
4:15 AYR Henpecked
5:00 LEI The Salmon Man
5:55 SLI Mystic Princess
6:35 CRL Freight Train
7:25 SLI Spring Forward
7:35 CRL Final Venture
7:45 WDR Francisco
8:05 CRL Bargain Buy
8:25 SLI Overtures
8:35 CRL She´s Electric
8:45 WDR Baadi
9:05 CRL Crombay
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby Deestar » Mon May 23, 2016 2:04 pm

These are all Racing Post forecast favs in handicaps.
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby brumbie » Mon May 23, 2016 2:16 pm

I don't think that can be right then Deestar as her selections went up as far as 13.00 and her staking was according to the price. I studied her thread for quite some time before it was taken down, all her selections remained there for about 3 or 4 years after that particular season. The prices in her selections varied quite alot and most believe her father (who was/is a very astute gambler) was responsible for the system if not the selections. I believe she is happily married now, mores the pitty as she was a lovely person to talk to when she had her own forum, she would always send you pm's and make you think you were a close friend. Quite a looker too I believe. :D

I'll certainly watch those selections today though... :)
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby Deestar » Mon May 23, 2016 2:23 pm

Don't claim to know the system at all, just noted that common denominator when skimming through those selections.
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Mon May 23, 2016 4:32 pm

The Maria Lay Staking Plan allows you to choose selections of odds up to 10 to 1 but controls your liability. Essentially it is staking a small proportion of your betting bank in relation to the odds of your selection.

There has been a lot of hype about this system because a lady called Maria was apparently able to turn £3000 into £100,000 in less than a year using this staking plan. In 2005 this young lady began a thread on one of the betting forums and charted her daily progress. Starting with £3000 in less than a year she had increased this to over £100,000. Unfortunately she did not reveal her selection method. She said that her father had 'connections' within horse racing and could get inside information.

Her strike rate over the period was 85% with average lay odds of 6-1. This would have given a good level stake profit so it would not have been difficult to increase this with a sensible staking plan. If her strike rate had fallen below 75% she would have made a heavy loss.

So we do not know her selection method or indeed if she did have access to privileged information. A good selection method is crucial to any kind of system, whether it be backing or laying. The winning Strike Rate is of paramount importance. If a system is making a heavy level stake loss then no staking plan can turn that around into profit.

What Maria did reveal was her staking method which turns out to be quite a sensible one. You lay a small percentage of your bank in proportion to the lay odds of the selection, as follows:

Let's assume a bank of 1000 points:
Prices below 3.5: lay to 1% of bank - you lay 10 pts, your liability under 25 pts
Prices from 3.5 to 7.4: lay to 0.6% of bank - you lay 6 pts, your liability 15 to 38.4 pts
Prices from 7.5 to 11: lay to 0.4% of bank - you lay 4 pts, your liability 26 to 40 pts
No bet if odds greater than 11

This is how lv been doing my Lays as above . Theres links around web that you can dowload the betting sheet.
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Mon May 23, 2016 9:29 pm

Todays Results
3:05 AYR Mo Henry28p 5\10 2\1f
4:15 AYR Henpecked22 2\8 3\1
5:00 LEI The Salmon Man30 2\8 13\8f
5:55 SLI Mystic Princess17 6\14 6\1
6:35 CRL Freight Train21 2\5 15\8
7:25 SLI Spring Forward67 9\16 2\1f
7:35 CRL Final Venture10 1\12 7\2f
7:45 WDR Francisco10 9\10 7\2
8:05 CRL Bargain Buy33 1\9 9\4f
8:25 SLI Overtures17h 3\16 6\1
8:35 CRL She´s Electric3 9\9 9\4f
8:45 WDR Baadi35 1\12 5\2f
9:05 CRL Crombay16h 6\7 5\2f
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Tue May 24, 2016 10:43 am

Todays Lays
Tue 24/05/16
2:30 HEX Suzy´s Music
2:45 WOL Guapo Bay
3:00 HEX Beyondtemptation
3:30 HEX Seventeen Black
4:00 HEX Nortonthorpelegend
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby Deestar » Tue May 24, 2016 12:52 pm

Once again all are RP Forecast Fav's in Handicaps.
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Tue May 24, 2016 4:26 pm

Results
2:30 HEX Suzy´s Music17 5\11 9\2f
2:45 WOL Guapo Bay13b 2\6 4\1
3:00 HEX Beyondtemptation17ht P\11 13\2
3:30 HEX Seventeen Black24 5\10 11\4f
4:00 HEX Nortonthorpelegend19 6\7 10\1
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Wed May 25, 2016 9:54 am

Todays Lays
Wed/25/05/16
2:20 LIN Commanche9b
2:30 HAM Bahamian Sunshine11p
2:40 MAR Miss Estela27p
3:15 MAR Our Cat107x
3:50 MAR Le Bacardy36p
4:00 LIN Spiriting320p
4:25 MAR Angus Glens21p
4:55 MAR Harleys Max14
5:35 LIN Hint Of Grey15
6:40 NAB Dusk Till Dawn25b1
7:00 GOW Granny May31
7:20 KEM Justice First30
7:30 GOW Shamreen31
7:40 NAB Calin Du Brizais14t
8:20 KEM The Big Lad18
8:50 KEM Snow Conditions63
jacko66
 
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Wed May 25, 2016 9:07 pm

Results
2:20 LIN Commanche9b 7\16 4\1f
2:30 HAM Bahamian Sunshine11p 4\11 6\1jf
2:40 MAR Miss Estela27p 1\8 5\2f
3:15 MAR Our Cat107x P\7 5\1
3:50 MAR Le Bacardy36p 2\8 9\2
4:00 LIN Spiriting320p 5\10 4\1
4:25 MAR Angus Glens21p 3\6 11\2
4:55 MAR Harleys Max14 4\9 15\8F
5:35 LIN Hint Of Grey15 1\12 11\4F
6:40 NAB Dusk Till Dawn25b1 1\11 6\1
7:00 GOW Granny May31 7\15 7\2F
7:20 KEM Justice First30 10\13 11\2
7:30 GOW Shamreen31 1\3 4\5F
7:40 NAB Calin Du Brizais14t 5\10 11\4F
8:20 KEM The Big Lad18 10\10 7\2F
8:50 KEM Snow Conditions63 4\12 9\2F
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Thu May 26, 2016 10:25 am

Todays Lays
Thur/26/05/16
2:40 BAN Slidecheck60tp
2:50 CFD Azilian66xt
3:00 HAY Explain12
3:40 BAN Marley Joe97xh
4:10 BAN San Pietro27
4:20 CFD Melgate Melody10
4:30 HAY King Of Paradise25
4:50 CFD Henry Grace50b
5:20 CFD Not Your Call15
6:00 SAN Speculator28
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Re: Maria Laying method

Postby jacko66 » Thu May 26, 2016 4:31 pm

Hi
Today will be last day lm posting the Lays if anyone would like to have them please pm me for details.
Regards
jacko66
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