how many favs actually win....

[easternpromise]

For horse racing I read somewhere that only 35% of favs win their races.

But where can i find out the % wins by favs that start the race at different odds.

e.g. how many favs win, if there start price is 2.0,3.0,5.0 etc.

Thanks

[Graham]

You can download the betfair data for the last 3 or so years from here:

http://www.betfairpromo.com/betfairsp/prices/

I haven't looked but you will almost certainly find the following:

2.0 50%
3.0 33%
5.0 20%

Maybe you can possibly find a bias to certain tracks / trips / field sizes but you'll be lucky.

Good luck

[Herbie1809]

I believe-overall- its about 37%. And a little extra, approx 65% of all races are won by one of the first five in the betting. But don't quote me on that.

[KevinTHFC]

Proform tells me the following

2.0 48.98%
3.0 31.88%
5.0 19.68%

This is for all races from 2008 to date

[Drunkenight]

Hi Kevin, those figures are very interesting. Can I ask how you got those from Proform?

[KevinTHFC]

Hi DK,

I used the System Builder, selected all years from 2008 as BFSP came in in 2007 and selected each of the BFSP odds in turn and ran the report.

[milfor]

Interesting. Would it be a lot of work for you to find that out for other odds as well?

[KevinTHFC]

Which odd do you want?

[milfor]

I would be interested in 10, 20, 50, 100 and 1000 if it's not too laborious.

[KevinTHFC]

Sorry for the delay.

10 - 10.13%
20 - 5.11%
50 - 1.89%
100 - 0.56%
1000 - 0.07%

[milfor]

Thank you!