Arbitrage

Discuss anything related to using the program (eg. triggered betting tactics)

Moderator: 2020vision

Arbitrage

Postby whymejimmy » Sat Apr 23, 2011 1:38 am

Hi Guys, excuse the stupid question, but is there any way to create an arbitrage through single click betting in BA - so if I select to bet $5 back, then it works out the lay bet and automatically places this for me? Many thanks...
Every man lives in quiet desperation
whymejimmy
 
Posts: 7
Joined: Wed Apr 20, 2011 3:03 am
Location: Australia

Postby osknows » Sat Apr 23, 2011 2:45 am

My understanding of arbitrage is that you place a position in one market/company and offset in another. This isn't currently possible with BA without using Excel.

However, standard offset in the same market is easy. If you place a $5 BACK position then you can specify an offset (tick or %) with/without stop loss to trigger the LAY with various options on level profit etc
User avatar
osknows
 
Posts: 946
Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2009 12:01 am

Postby Ian » Sat Apr 23, 2011 7:31 am

Arbitrage is where you place and match the bets at the same time (with no risk) - using offsets etc. would be trading as it carries the risk that the offset may never be matched.
Ian
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Sat Nov 19, 2005 8:35 am
Location: Birmingham

Postby citroen999 » Sun Apr 24, 2011 10:09 am

slightly incorrect...

an abritrage is a bet between 2 bookmakers not a lay and back bet on the same player/team within betfair and also its not and inplay bet so a true arbitrage you will always get matched as the bets are placed on odds available at the time

lets says feder is 1.5 win with ladbrokes and you can lay on betfair at 1.45 - you have an arb of sorts

now arbs are very hard to find, you wont stumble across them.You can join arb finding services but they give you the arb after they have got there bets on and also arbs dont last long as soon as money starts piling in ladbrokes will change their price...

also you get 1 bet on with ladbrokes and william hill then changes.. so you miss it

also tennis, different bookmakers have different rules for retirement

but a true arb is this:

Igor Andreev Bookmaker: Pinnacle Odds: 3.360 Stake: £472 PossibleWinnings: £1585.92

Richard Gasquet Bookmaker: Ladbrokes Odds: 3.000 Stake: £528
Possible Winnings: £1584.00

A correctly staked investment of £1000 guarantees a return of £1584 whatever the outcome of the match.
That's £584 profit due to discrepancies in the bookmakers' odds guaranteeing a 58.49% profit on your investment!

The above information tells us that Igor Andreev and Richard Gasquet are competing in a Tennis Match. It also tells us that Pinnacle Sports have odds of 3.360 for Igor Andreev to win the match, and Ladbrokes have odds of 3.000 for Richard Gasquet to win the match.

By applying a simple mathematical formula to those odds, we are able to calculate that we can cover both possible outcomes of the bet and make a guaranteed 58.49% return on our investment.

We would invest our money in proportion to the odds on each possibility. The amount to invest on each outcome is calculated using another simple formula. £472 invested on Igor Andreev returns £1585.92 and £528 invested on Richard Gasquet returns £1584.00.

£472 x 3.360 = £1585.92
£528 x 3.000 = £1584.00

Risk Free Profit = £584
citroen999
 
Posts: 15
Joined: Fri May 09, 2008 8:43 pm

Postby doris_day » Sun Apr 24, 2011 12:48 pm

citroen, if you found an arb like that, although your maths is correct, it would inevitably turn out to be a very bad bet because one of the odds quoted would be a 'palpable error' and be rejected.

Arbs are still out there and can be found though the biggest issue is keeping accounts going because most books that show arbs limit you to very small sums extremely quickly.

I've been associated with RebelBetting for a couple of years and can highly recommend their software. There'll be a very interesting upgrade soon which will include UK horse racing :)
'He was looking for the card so high and wild he'd never need to deal another' - Leonard Cohen
User avatar
doris_day
 
Posts: 968
Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2007 12:34 am

Postby Ian » Sun Apr 24, 2011 6:19 pm

That's a cracker. citreoen. Not only is it a clear palp but the rules are different between the two books - Pinny one set & Laddies one ball. And you said my reply was slightly incorrect !!
Ian
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Sat Nov 19, 2005 8:35 am
Location: Birmingham

Postby citroen999 » Wed Apr 27, 2011 4:15 pm

yeah i know.. it was an example...

thats why arbing aint worth a w@nk in my view

retirements, palps, stupid bonus playthroughs, account suspensions, bet limiting etc are all too much of ball ache... tried it for about 3 months made few quid but a proper ball ache

wasnt calling you an idiot or anything so dont get upset i just thought your desciption was a bit unclear for people less clever than you.. like me
citroen999
 
Posts: 15
Joined: Fri May 09, 2008 8:43 pm


Return to Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 46 guests

Sports betting software from Gruss Software


The strength of Gruss Software is that it’s been designed by one of you, a frustrated sports punter, and then developed by listening to dozens of like-minded enthusiasts.

Gruss is owned and run by brothers Gary and Mark Russell. Gary discovered Betfair in 2004 and soon realised that using bespoke software to place bets was much more efficient than merely placing them through the website.

Gary built his own software and then enhanced its features after trialling it through other Betfair users and reacting to their improvement ideas, something that still happens today.

He started making a small monthly charge so he could work on it full-time and then recruited Mark to help develop the products and Gruss Software was born.

We think it’s the best of its kind and so do a lot of our customers. But you can never stand still in this game and we’ll continue to improve the software if any more great ideas emerge.